These "most" people profess faith in apple, and, in some ways they show it (buying the iPhone), but when it comes to stock, "most" apple owners are just as oblivious as the rest of the world. The average apple stock owner still believes that apple fluxuates based on the state of the current US economy. Years ago that may have been true, but things have been different for a long time. Apple not only continues to have amazing growth in the US, during what many call a recession (note the millions of iPhone 3G's sold in just days), but Apple also has a stranglehold on the rest of the world.

Because of the reliability of apple to astound on a regular and scheduled basis, the stock has followed an extremely reliable pattern for many years. I am specifically talking to you people on the apple finance board who sit on the computer every day watching the stock go up and down, and talking to each other about how it will go up as soon as you sell and you'll lose more than is worth, so you sit and wait and never sell and let the months pass by. WAKE UP!!

The stock follows a beautifully reliable trend. If you claim even to be long term traders. Then sell your stock after every Macworld and WWDC, because after every one, the stock is certain to drop. The boards may be telling you otherwise, and the experts may say otherwise, but the facts remain. After every Macworld and WWDC the stock goes up a little then plummets for the next month (give or take a few weeks). THAT IS WHEN YOU BUY. When the stock hits a stagnant spot for 2-3 weeks. Then Apple begins it's steady climb back up the charts.

The perfect example of this trend is being shown now. Why are apple stocks going down even with the iphone selling at record speeds? They are going down because apple wants them to go down. Steve Jobs is using his mind control powers to make them drop JUST FOR YOU. More seriously, have you ever noticed how unflattering Apple always in in its third quarter estimates of itself? I am going to tentatively site the Stevenote effect, aka the effect of the keynote given by steve jobs that makes apple stock drop after he announces new products. "Most" people are skeptical about this, unquantifiable thing, but what really matters is that it's there. Just like every other apple product. We're not buying it so we can question how fabulous it is. We're just supposed to enjoy.

And just to help you people who need hard facts to convince you, this site shows the drops in apple stock since Jan 1998 to the present after the keynote adresses.

KEYNOTE INDEX

 Chances are this won't convince you anyways. If you're worried about this being too general a policy of buy and sell to stick to, then you're a smart person. The pattern that the stock takes is not always the same. Sometimes, especially recently, the drops after the keynote are bigger than others. When the iphone first was announced the stock drop was almost like lightning. A similar effect took place when the iPhone 3G became available. So it is essential to watch for what products are being released to gauge how soon you want to sell and when you want to buy back. The Bigger the product, the bigger the stock loss before it climbs back up for another big gain. I'm waiting for the touch/tablet computer that apple will be selling within the next four years. That will be another big stock opportunity.

So allow me to recap:

1. Sell your stock within the 1st week after Macworld and the WWDC, depending on the expectations of the products, remember bigger product release = bigger stock loss.
2. Buy back within 2 months after stock flattens and then gains 15 points or more and seems to be rising.
3. Enjoy profits.

Allow me to stress however that there are minor fluxuations so it's not a perfect system. But the pattern on a whole is reliable and this system will work pretty much all the time. Besides. "Most" of you will just ignore what I've said and hold on to your apple stock until the next ice age. Oh well :)

Most of the rumors circulating about the keynote are centered around the iPhone. Numerous rumors have been circulating relating to the 3G iPhone, including color (x2), size, and availability of 2.5G iPhones (x2 again). A few bloopers by companies, mainly AT&T (x2) and T-Mobile, have produced a few other details. A screenshot from a beta version of Firmware 2.0 also has an option to turn 3G off, and since this is from Apple itself, we can pretty much guess that 3G is a shoo-in.

But Apple always has some element of surprise. I'll be interested to see what it is...

Pasirodo interneto paieškos, ypač tuomet kai namuose jis atjungiamas už nesusimokėjimą, priveda prie įdomių rezultatų.  Pasitelkiau savo proto galią ir sugalvojau, kad univeras tinkamiausia vieta rasti internetą, pasirodo neklydau. Yra tokia vieta VU Centriniuose rūmuose: humanitarinis informacijos centras. Labai rekomenduoju ten užsukti mokytis ar šiaip pasiskaityti įdomios literatūros: įvairūs Lietuvos, užsienio žurnalai ir daug kitos vertingos literatūros, o ir gražu, tylu, ramu, tvarkinga, patogu.

read more | digg story

• Ringtones: A lot of people were flabbergasted about the fact that you couldn't use your own songs as ringtones on the iPhone. Apple has fixed that now...if you pay 99 cents more. Lame! So, people have to pay double for a section of a song that they already own in order to use it as a ringtone? Mad Dog's money grabbing me says.

• Shuffle refresh: Some new colors including a Product Red, which is always nice. Just a refresh though nothing special.

• New nano: Well, I guess those fugly fatty leaked pictures were the real deal. Does anyone think these look nice? I don't. The old nano's were so much more stylish. I don't understand why Apple, the king of design, has gone for this approach. Oh and they get video, big deal. Video on a 2 inch screen is almost impossible to enjoy.

• iPod refresh: Quite predictably the regular iPod (or the 'Classic') now also gets the aluminum treatment, putting it on par with the rest of the line-up. It's a bit thinner and has a whole lot more storage, 160 gigs at the most. That would have been a nice upgrade on it's own, but no, ol' Steve had to up the ante.

• New iPod: Dubbed the iPod Touch. It's basically the iPhone without the phone. Everything except the phone functionality is still present, so things like Youtube and Wifi and Safari are still present. The touch interface and coverflow is still gorgeous. We knew this one was coming and it's gorgeous. Wait a minute, go back a few lines. WiFi? Does that mean? Oh yes :)

• Wifi song purchasing: Yes ladies and gentlemen, they did it. They failed to do it on the ROCKR or on the iPhone, but it's finally a reality. The Zune can forget it, this is how Wi-Fi in an MP3-player should work (although Sandisk has done some nice things recently)

• iPhone price cut: Nothing fancy, just a good solid business move. By discontinuing the 4 gigabyte version and dropping the price to 399, the iPhone is now practically in Treo and Blackberry territory. Can't wait to see that battle unfold.

• Some lame Starbucks partnership. Let's say that wasn't the big 'one more thing' everybody was hoping for.

So in the end, good presentation, with mostly cool new products. No 3G iPhone, no Beatles but that's okay. I'm guessing we won't have to wait too long for that.... I hope.